NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL BAY
Points 73.0 76.4
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 27.6
Points From Free Throws 14.8 13.5
Shooting HALL BAY
Field Goals Made 26.0 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 58.9
Field Goal % 46.3% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.8 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 18.5
Free Throw % 80.8% 73.1%
Ball Control HALL BAY
Rebounds 32.1 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.0
Turnovers 11.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.7
Steals 6.8 6.9
Fouls 15.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Baylor

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL BAY
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 70.1
% of Possessions with HALL BAY
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 30.4%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.6%
Turnover 16.2% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL BAY
Shot Blocked 6.5% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 32.1%