NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL CREI
Points 69.7 77.8
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 44.9 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 34.0
Points From Free Throws 8.8 10.4
Shooting HALL CREI
Field Goals Made 27.8 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 68.8 61.0
Field Goal % 40.3% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.4 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.7% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 8.8 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 10.9 12.8
Free Throw % 80.8% 80.8%
Ball Control HALL CREI
Rebounds 37.4 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 7.7
Turnovers 7.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.5
Steals 6.3 3.9
Fouls 12.7 10.0

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL CREI
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 68.4
% of Possessions with HALL CREI
2 Point Attempt 62.5% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.3% 39.8%
Player Fouled 14.1% 17.9%
Turnover 10.5% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL CREI
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 22.8%