NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOF SLU
Points 78.4 72.2
Total Points   150.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 28.1
Points From Free Throws 11.1 14.2
Shooting HOF SLU
Field Goals Made 28.0 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 54.9
Field Goal % 48.2% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 11.1 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 18.9
Free Throw % 73.2% 75.1%
Ball Control HOF SLU
Rebounds 31.5 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 8.2
Turnovers 8.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.4
Steals 6.0 4.9
Fouls 13.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOF SLU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 66.2
% of Possessions with HOF SLU
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 38.0% 30.7%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.9%
Turnover 12.3% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOF SLU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 24.8%