NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN BYU
Points 64.8 83.5
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 37.2
Points From Free Throws 11.7 12.2
Shooting EVAN BYU
Field Goals Made 23.5 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 62.8
Field Goal % 41.4% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 11.7 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 16.8
Free Throw % 69.9% 72.5%
Ball Control EVAN BYU
Rebounds 30.2 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 11.3
Turnovers 10.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.3
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 13.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN BYU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 73.6
% of Possessions with EVAN BYU
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 34.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 40.5%
Player Fouled 21.5% 18.8%
Turnover 14.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN BYU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 15.5% 31.5%