NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR PEAY
Points 76.6 72.4
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.9 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 26.0
Points From Free Throws 15.2 11.6
Shooting MURR PEAY
Field Goals Made 27.8 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 56.5
Field Goal % 51.2% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 59.6% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 15.2 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 16.3
Free Throw % 68.9% 70.9%
Ball Control MURR PEAY
Rebounds 33.6 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.4
Turnovers 8.1 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.4
Steals 4.0 4.8
Fouls 13.8 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR PEAY
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 66.4
% of Possessions with MURR PEAY
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 29.6%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.8%
Turnover 12.1% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR PEAY
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 25.6%