NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR ILST
Points 67.3 65.6
Total Points   133.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 21.0
Points From Free Throws 10.2 12.1
Shooting MURR ILST
Field Goals Made 25.3 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 51.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 10.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 16.6
Free Throw % 68.9% 73.0%
Ball Control MURR ILST
Rebounds 31.0 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.1
Turnovers 8.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.1
Steals 4.6 4.1
Fouls 15.1 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR ILST
Total Possessions 64.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 61.9
% of Possessions with MURR ILST
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 29.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 23.6%
Turnover 12.8% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR ILST
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 26.1%