NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR SIU
Points 68.0 71.4
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.2 28.8
Points From Free Throws 13.5 13.1
Shooting MURR SIU
Field Goals Made 25.1 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 51.6
Field Goal % 47.3% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 25.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 17.0
Free Throw % 68.9% 77.2%
Ball Control MURR SIU
Rebounds 30.0 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 6.8
Turnovers 8.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.9
Steals 5.2 4.1
Fouls 15.3 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR SIU
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 61.8
% of Possessions with MURR SIU
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 34.9%
Player Fouled 23.8% 23.4%
Turnover 12.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR SIU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 23.2%