NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL SBON
Points 68.2 68.6
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 19.9
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.3
Shooting L-IL SBON
Field Goals Made 23.4 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 54.6
Field Goal % 43.7% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 21.1
Free Throw % 67.6% 77.3%
Ball Control L-IL SBON
Rebounds 34.0 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.3
Turnovers 12.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.8
Steals 5.2 6.3
Fouls 16.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL SBON
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 67.1
% of Possessions with L-IL SBON
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 23.6%
Player Fouled 22.8% 24.1%
Turnover 17.8% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL SBON
Shot Blocked 8.9% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 24.4%