NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL TLSA
Points 73.8 65.5
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 17.0
Points From Free Throws 15.0 18.8
Shooting L-IL TLSA
Field Goals Made 25.2 20.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 51.7
Field Goal % 44.6% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 15.0 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 25.5
Free Throw % 67.6% 73.6%
Ball Control L-IL TLSA
Rebounds 37.7 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 6.5
Turnovers 12.5 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.3
Steals 7.3 7.0
Fouls 19.8 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL TLSA
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 66.9
% of Possessions with L-IL TLSA
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 23.4%
Player Fouled 22.6% 26.9%
Turnover 17.0% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL TLSA
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 18.5%