NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI COFC
Points 75.1 84.7
Total Points   159.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 33.4
Points From Free Throws 14.1 13.0
Shooting URI COFC
Field Goals Made 27.0 30.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 66.3
Field Goal % 48.2% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 14.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 18.0
Free Throw % 66.1% 72.3%
Ball Control URI COFC
Rebounds 34.2 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.5
Turnovers 11.1 7.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.3
Steals 4.1 6.1
Fouls 14.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI COFC
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 77.3
% of Possessions with URI COFC
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 36.3%
Player Fouled 21.9% 19.9%
Turnover 15.5% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI COFC
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 32.3%