NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSU WASH
Points 76.4 73.0
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 19.6
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.4
Shooting CSU WASH
Field Goals Made 27.4 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 58.0
Field Goal % 46.8% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 20.1
Free Throw % 74.7% 71.5%
Ball Control CSU WASH
Rebounds 34.2 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.6
Turnovers 9.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.8
Steals 5.4 4.5
Fouls 16.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSU WASH
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 70.2
% of Possessions with CSU WASH
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 23.4%
Player Fouled 22.7% 23.4%
Turnover 12.9% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSU WASH
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 24.4%