NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR UNT
Points 64.9 68.4
Total Points   133.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 19.0
Points From Free Throws 13.9 17.4
Shooting FOR UNT
Field Goals Made 21.7 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 52.1
Field Goal % 39.4% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 13.9 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 23.2
Free Throw % 67.2% 75.1%
Ball Control FOR UNT
Rebounds 35.7 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.0
Turnovers 11.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.2
Steals 6.9 6.1
Fouls 16.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR UNT
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 65.6
% of Possessions with FOR UNT
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 20.6%
Player Fouled 22.4% 24.4%
Turnover 17.1% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR UNT
Shot Blocked 6.2% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 27.7%