NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI VCU
Points 63.0 78.0
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 28.8
Points From Free Throws 15.2 14.8
Shooting URI VCU
Field Goals Made 21.0 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 57.5
Field Goal % 39.4% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.2 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 19.2
Free Throw % 66.1% 77.2%
Ball Control URI VCU
Rebounds 33.4 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.0
Turnovers 11.4 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 5.8
Steals 4.5 6.7
Fouls 15.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI VCU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 69.3
% of Possessions with URI VCU
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 32.7%
Player Fouled 23.2% 21.9%
Turnover 16.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI VCU
Shot Blocked 10.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 27.0%