NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAMU SOU
Points 60.9 69.9
Total Points   130.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 21.0
Points From Free Throws 13.1 14.4
Shooting FAMU SOU
Field Goals Made 21.5 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 55.0
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.1 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 22.1
Free Throw % 68.1% 65.3%
Ball Control FAMU SOU
Rebounds 34.5 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.3
Turnovers 16.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.3
Steals 4.9 8.3
Fouls 16.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Southern

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAMU SOU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 68.9
% of Possessions with FAMU SOU
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 26.0%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.7%
Turnover 23.1% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAMU SOU
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 26.3%