NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARK OKLA
Points 73.7 77.0
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 19.4
Points From Free Throws 18.9 20.6
Shooting ARK OKLA
Field Goals Made 24.9 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 56.4
Field Goal % 45.0% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 18.9 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 28.1
Free Throw % 76.5% 73.5%
Ball Control ARK OKLA
Rebounds 32.3 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 9.9
Turnovers 10.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.4
Steals 6.3 4.9
Fouls 18.8 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Arkansas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARK OKLA
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 72.7
% of Possessions with ARK OKLA
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 22.3%
Player Fouled 24.8% 25.6%
Turnover 13.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARK OKLA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 28.0%