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Mississippi at Miss State
Wed Feb 21, 2024
9:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Mississippi at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 6.5, Total Points: 141
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MISS | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-18-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-12-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 6-8-0 | 11-9-0 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alabama St | -26.5 | W by 10 | -16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | E Washingtn | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Detroit | -23.5 | W by 1 | -22.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Sam Hous St | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Temple | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | NC State | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Mt St Marys | -16.0 | W by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/10 | Away | UCF | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | California | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Troy | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +9.0 | W by 17 | +26.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Bryant | -15.0 | W by 17 | +2.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 26 | -14.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Florida | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | LSU | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Auburn | +12.5 | L by 23 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Texas A&M | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miss State | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | S Carolina | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 3 | -8.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miss State | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Alabama | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Missouri | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -1.0 | L by 26 | -27.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -6.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3511 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 2572 times (73.3%).
- The team like Mississippi won the game 939 times (26.7%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1742-1717-52 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4978 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 2446-2432-100 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/21 06:47 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:23 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 01:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 11:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 11:03 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:11 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/21 09:44 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 11:08 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/20 11:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 04:47 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:44 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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