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UNLV at Air Force
Wed Feb 21, 2024
11:00pm ET
Colorado Springs, CO
UNLV at Air Force: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UNLV by 6.5, Total Points: 131.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNLV | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-11-0 | 10-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-5-0 | 6-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 11-4-0 | 3-13-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 7-8-0 |
UNLV Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Southern | -20.5 | L by 14 | -34.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stetson | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Pepperdine | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Richmond | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Akron | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Loyola Mymt | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Creighton | +13.5 | W by 15 | +28.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | St Marys | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Hofstra | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Carroll | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | Bethesda University | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | San Diego St | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | New Mexico | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Utah St | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Boise St | +5.0 | W by 4 | +9.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Colorado St | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Air Force | -10.5 | L by 32 | -42.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Jose St | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Fresno St | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Wyoming | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | New Mexico | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Fresno St | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Nevada | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Air Force | -6.5 | W by 29 | +22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Colorado St | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Wyoming | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | San Jose St | -13.5 | W by 18 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | San Diego St | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Nevada | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | San Diego St | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Princeton | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Boston Col | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Seton Hall | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
Air Force Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Portland St | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | LIU | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Delaware | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Lindenwood | -16.0 | W by 18 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Wm & Mary | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Neb Omaha | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | VMI | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | South Dakota | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Portland | +4.5 | W by 22 | +26.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | E Washingtn | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | TX-Arlington | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | N Colorado | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Utah St | +6.5 | L by 28 | -21.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nevada | +14.0 | L by 13 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | San Jose St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Colorado St | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | New Mexico | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | UNLV | +10.5 | W by 32 | +42.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Fresno St | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Wyoming | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Boise St | +12.0 | L by 38 | -26.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | San Diego St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Fresno St | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | San Jose St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | UNLV | +6.5 | L by 29 | -22.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New Mexico | +18.5 | W by 1 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Boise St | +11.5 | L by 31 | -19.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Utah St | +17.5 | L by 12 | +5.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Wyoming | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Colorado St | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | New Mexico | +14.5 | L by 26 | -11.5 |
| UNLV -6.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1439 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like UNLV won the game 1044 times (72.6%).
- The team like Air Force won the game 395 times (27.4%).
- The team like UNLV did better against the spread, going 715-694-30 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3853 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like UNLV did better against the spread, going 1897-1886-70 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/21 10:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:17 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 08:06 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:45 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/21 07:40 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:41 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:36 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/21 06:17 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 04:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/21 04:40 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/21 04:37 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 04:08 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 03:05 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 01:50 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:40 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:43 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 01:55 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 11:08 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/20 03:40 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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