NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TTU TCU
Points 76.1 76.7
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 19.8
Points From Free Throws 16.2 13.5
Shooting TTU TCU
Field Goals Made 26.0 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 61.5
Field Goal % 46.6% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 16.2 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 18.6
Free Throw % 78.5% 72.7%
Ball Control TTU TCU
Rebounds 31.6 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 13.1
Turnovers 11.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.9
Steals 5.4 6.7
Fouls 13.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TTU TCU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 73.7
% of Possessions with TTU TCU
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 21.9%
Player Fouled 21.8% 19.1%
Turnover 16.4% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TTU TCU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 36.4%