NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJU GTWN
Points 88.3 69.7
Total Points   158.0
Points From 2-Pointers 51.2 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 23.6
Points From Free Throws 16.6 16.9
Shooting SJU GTWN
Field Goals Made 32.4 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 57.4
Field Goal % 54.1% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.6 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 63.2% 40.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.6 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 23.4
Free Throw % 74.2% 72.0%
Ball Control SJU GTWN
Rebounds 38.4 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 18.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 12.2
Turnovers 8.9 11.3
Blocked Shots 6.2 2.1
Steals 6.8 4.9
Fouls 16.4 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJU GTWN
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 71.2
% of Possessions with SJU GTWN
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 25.4%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.3%
Turnover 12.7% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJU GTWN
Shot Blocked 3.8% 10.4%
Offensive Rebound 40.8% 32.1%