NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO USI
Points 66.7 71.2
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 14.8
Points From Free Throws 16.0 21.5
Shooting SEMO USI
Field Goals Made 22.6 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 51.5
Field Goal % 40.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 16.0 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 28.6
Free Throw % 70.6% 75.1%
Ball Control SEMO USI
Rebounds 32.6 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.4
Turnovers 10.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.3
Steals 5.1 5.8
Fouls 20.3 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO USI
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 69.3
% of Possessions with SEMO USI
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 19.9%
Player Fouled 25.7% 28.3%
Turnover 15.0% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO USI
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 28.3%