NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH DAV
Points 63.2 69.2
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.0 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 20.0
Points From Free Throws 12.5 13.9
Shooting M-OH DAV
Field Goals Made 21.4 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 56.0
Field Goal % 39.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 12.5 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 18.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.6%
Ball Control M-OH DAV
Rebounds 31.7 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 9.4
Turnovers 11.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.9
Steals 5.8 6.6
Fouls 15.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (OH)

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH DAV
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 67.7
% of Possessions with M-OH DAV
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 29.0%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.4%
Turnover 16.2% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH DAV
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 27.2%