NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW LAS
Points 77.0 75.5
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 28.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 9.1
Shooting GW LAS
Field Goals Made 26.6 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 67.7
Field Goal % 44.8% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.7 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 12.7
Free Throw % 75.4% 71.6%
Ball Control GW LAS
Rebounds 39.3 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.0
Turnovers 9.2 7.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.7
Steals 4.2 5.7
Fouls 11.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW LAS
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 74.9
% of Possessions with GW LAS
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 30.7%
Player Fouled 19.0% 16.1%
Turnover 12.8% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW LAS
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 24.6%