NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB SDAK
Points 78.4 70.5
Total Points   148.9
Points From 2-Pointers 48.2 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 21.7
Points From Free Throws 13.6 17.9
Shooting CSB SDAK
Field Goals Made 29.6 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 51.0
Field Goal % 46.4% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 24.1 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 47.6 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 13.6 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 23.4
Free Throw % 73.0% 76.4%
Ball Control CSB SDAK
Rebounds 36.9 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 7.4
Turnovers 7.5 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 1.2
Steals 6.8 2.9
Fouls 18.3 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB SDAK
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 64.8
% of Possessions with CSB SDAK
2 Point Attempt 56.7% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 23.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 26.0%
Turnover 10.6% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 4.2% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB SDAK
Shot Blocked 2.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 35.3% 23.7%