NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB CP
Points 69.0 61.2
Total Points   130.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 17.2
Points From Free Throws 17.1 16.6
Shooting CSB CP
Field Goals Made 24.0 19.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 49.0
Field Goal % 43.3% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 12.0 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 17.1 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 23.4
Free Throw % 73.0% 70.9%
Ball Control CSB CP
Rebounds 39.6 28.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 7.5
Turnovers 11.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.3
Steals 6.3 4.8
Fouls 18.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB CP
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 63.0
% of Possessions with CSB CP
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 14.4% 22.1%
Player Fouled 24.1% 27.7%
Turnover 16.2% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB CP
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 39.4% 22.5%