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Toledo at Miami (OH)
Tue Mar 5, 2024
7:00pm ET
Miami, OH
Toledo at Miami (OH): Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 2, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | M-OH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 16-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 9-8-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
Miami (OH) Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Evansville | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Texas St | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Coppin St | -12.5 | W by 28 | +15.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | E Illinois | -9.0 | W by 12 | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | St Bonavent | +12.5 | L by 30 | -17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Spalding | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 12/02 | Away | Marshall | +11.0 | W by 5 | +16.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Ohio St | +22.5 | L by 20 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Davidson | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Wright St | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Vermont | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Wilberforce | -- | W by 50 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | W Michigan | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Toledo | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Buffalo | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | E Michigan | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | +1.0 | L by 5 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ball St | +4.0 | W by 7 | +11.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Central Mich | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Akron | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Kent St | +7.5 | W by 4 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Ohio | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | N Illinois | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgia St | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Ball St | -2.5 | W by 21 | +18.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Michigan | -3.5 | L by 19 | -22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Central Mich | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Bowling Grn | +3.5 | W by 8 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | E Michigan | -6.0 | W by 15 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Toledo | +2.0 | L by 34 | -32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Ohio | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Akron | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| TOL -2.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2795 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 1534 times (54.9%).
- The team like Miami (OH) won the game 1261 times (45.1%).
- The team like Miami (OH) did better against the spread, going 1377-1358-60 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5167 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami (OH) did better against the spread, going 2541-2523-103 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/05 06:32 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 05:36 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 03:59 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 02:11 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 10:49 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:28 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 11:22 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:46 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:35 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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