NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QNC FGCU
Points 73.1 77.5
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 44.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.5 10.1
Shooting QNC FGCU
Field Goals Made 25.3 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 60.3
Field Goal % 42.9% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 13.5 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 14.9
Free Throw % 71.0% 68.1%
Ball Control QNC FGCU
Rebounds 32.4 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.3
Turnovers 9.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.5
Steals 6.3 6.0
Fouls 13.7 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QNC FGCU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 69.8
% of Possessions with QNC FGCU
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 26.9%
Player Fouled 20.3% 19.3%
Turnover 13.9% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken QNC FGCU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 28.0%