NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QNC STET
Points 78.6 82.5
Total Points   161.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 25.6
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.3
Shooting QNC STET
Field Goals Made 28.7 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 64.3 60.0
Field Goal % 44.7% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 19.0
Free Throw % 71.0% 75.1%
Ball Control QNC STET
Rebounds 34.9 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 8.5
Turnovers 8.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.0
Steals 5.5 4.7
Fouls 16.0 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Queens

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QNC STET
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 71.6
% of Possessions with QNC STET
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 29.2%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.0%
Turnover 11.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken QNC STET
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 25.9%