NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCW CAMP
Points 80.9 68.6
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.2 21.9
Points From Free Throws 12.1 12.9
Shooting UNCW CAMP
Field Goals Made 29.5 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 52.3
Field Goal % 47.8% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 12.1 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 18.0
Free Throw % 77.5% 71.6%
Ball Control UNCW CAMP
Rebounds 35.9 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 6.4
Turnovers 7.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.4
Steals 6.1 3.4
Fouls 15.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Campbell

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCW CAMP
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 63.1
% of Possessions with UNCW CAMP
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 26.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.1%
Turnover 11.1% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCW CAMP
Shot Blocked 2.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 20.6%