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NC-Wilmgton at Kentucky
Sat Dec 2, 2023
4:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
NC-Wilmgton at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Kentucky by 18, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNCW | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-15-0 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-5-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 10-5-0 |
NC-Wilmgton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mount Olive | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | NC-Asheville | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Columbia International | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | App State | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | E Carolina | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | W by 7 | +25.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Montreat | -- | W by 69 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | GA Southern | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Marshall | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Drexel | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Towson | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Monmouth | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Delaware | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Elon | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Col Charlestn | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Northeastrn | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Stony Brook | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Col Charlestn | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Campbell | -14.0 | W by 3 | -11.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Drexel | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Hampton | -12.5 | W by 30 | +17.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | NC A&T | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Elon | -16.5 | L by 1 | -17.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Wm & Mary | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Campbell | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Hofstra | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Towson | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Towson | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| UK -18.0 | Open | -18.0 | High | -18.5 |
| Last | -18.5 | Low | -18.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 767 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17 to 19 points. In these games:
- The team like Kentucky won the game 741 times (96.6%).
- The team like UNC Wilmington won the game 26 times (3.4%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 374-374-19 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3434 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1692-1679-63 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/02 11:35 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 12/01 09:08 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
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