NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU FIU
Points 67.4 77.0
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 21.0
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.7
Shooting LIU FIU
Field Goals Made 24.3 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 61.2
Field Goal % 43.4% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 22.6
Free Throw % 66.9% 65.0%
Ball Control LIU FIU
Rebounds 36.8 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.6
Turnovers 16.6 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 5.5
Steals 5.8 10.6
Fouls 16.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU FIU
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 75.1
% of Possessions with LIU FIU
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 17.9% 26.7%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.8%
Turnover 22.1% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 14.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU FIU
Shot Blocked 9.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 27.9%