NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH UAB
Points 72.3 77.6
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 43.0 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 18.4
Points From Free Throws 11.3 16.6
Shooting WICH UAB
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 62.5
Field Goal % 44.1% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 11.3 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 22.3
Free Throw % 69.7% 74.3%
Ball Control WICH UAB
Rebounds 36.0 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 12.7
Turnovers 10.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.1
Steals 5.9 7.0
Fouls 14.8 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH UAB
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 75.7
% of Possessions with WICH UAB
2 Point Attempt 52.2% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 21.5%
Player Fouled 17.0% 20.5%
Turnover 15.0% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH UAB
Shot Blocked 8.3% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 33.4%