NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STONE CCSU
Points 62.9 75.1
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 26.5
Points From Free Throws 7.9 13.1
Shooting STONE CCSU
Field Goals Made 23.3 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 57.6
Field Goal % 40.2% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 7.9 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 11.5 18.4
Free Throw % 69.1% 71.4%
Ball Control STONE CCSU
Rebounds 31.4 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 9.1
Turnovers 11.8 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.8
Steals 5.5 7.4
Fouls 13.3 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Stonehill

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STONE CCSU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 69.1
% of Possessions with STONE CCSU
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 31.2%
Player Fouled 16.0% 19.1%
Turnover 16.9% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STONE CCSU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 17.9% 26.8%