NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STONE RID
Points 63.7 78.3
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 23.7
Points From Free Throws 10.0 14.6
Shooting STONE RID
Field Goals Made 22.6 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 59.7
Field Goal % 38.9% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 10.0 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 19.1
Free Throw % 69.1% 76.3%
Ball Control STONE RID
Rebounds 29.7 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 11.4
Turnovers 11.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.4
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 13.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STONE RID
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 72.0
% of Possessions with STONE RID
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 25.3%
Player Fouled 18.9% 19.7%
Turnover 15.7% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken STONE RID
Shot Blocked 7.4% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 33.4%