NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTM MCNS
Points 72.7 83.4
Total Points   156.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.8 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 32.4 27.9
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.2
Shooting UTM MCNS
Field Goals Made 23.7 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 63.9
Field Goal % 41.2% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 27.3 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 20.5
Free Throw % 75.6% 69.1%
Ball Control UTM MCNS
Rebounds 36.7 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.2
Turnovers 12.7 6.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.3
Steals 3.4 8.2
Fouls 14.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTM MCNS
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 76.1
% of Possessions with UTM MCNS
2 Point Attempt 32.7% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 36.1% 29.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.9%
Turnover 17.5% 9.1%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTM MCNS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 27.2%