NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA ISU
Points 64.8 72.0
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.2 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 18.0
Points From Free Throws 15.0 13.5
Shooting OKLA ISU
Field Goals Made 21.3 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 49.7 57.7
Field Goal % 42.9% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 15.0 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.1
Free Throw % 73.5% 70.8%
Ball Control OKLA ISU
Rebounds 34.7 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.0
Turnovers 15.1 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.5
Steals 4.7 9.6
Fouls 15.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA ISU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 69.2
% of Possessions with OKLA ISU
2 Point Attempt 33.4% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 23.2%
Player Fouled 23.0% 22.5%
Turnover 22.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 14.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA ISU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 26.0%