BetIQ
Make Smarter Sports Bets
Michigan St at Nebraska
Sun Dec 10, 2023
6:30pm ET
Lincoln, NE
Michigan St at Nebraska: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan St. by 3.5, Total Points: 145
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | NEB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-1 | 21-13-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 15-4-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-1 | 6-9-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lindenwood | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -26.5 | W by 27 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Rider | -14.5 | W by 14 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Stony Brook | -16.0 | W by 21 | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Oregon St | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Duquesne | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | CS Fullerton | -17.0 | W by 13 | -4.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 29 | -25.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan St | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Kansas St | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | North Dakota | -17.0 | W by 8 | -9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Car State | -26.0 | W by 29 | +3.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 16 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 16 | -10.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Purdue | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Iowa | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Rutgers | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Northwestern | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio St | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Maryland | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Wisconsin | (Pick) | W by 8 | +8.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Illinois | +10.0 | L by 3 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Northwestern | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Michigan | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Penn St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Rutgers | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Illinois | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| MSU -3.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2289 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan St. won the game 1359 times (59.4%).
- The team like Nebraska won the game 930 times (40.6%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 1158-1086-45 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1095 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 538-532-25 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 06:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 05:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 05:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:31 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:13 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:55 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:44 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:13 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:17 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:17 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 10:32 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:17 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:18 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/09 05:38 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
Printed from TeamRankings.com - © 2005-2024 Team Rankings, LLC. All Rights Reserved.