NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH FLA
Points 73.0 77.9
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 23.0
Points From Free Throws 13.9 15.2
Shooting RICH FLA
Field Goals Made 26.4 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 64.5
Field Goal % 44.4% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 13.9 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 20.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.2%
Ball Control RICH FLA
Rebounds 31.5 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 5.0 13.6
Turnovers 8.3 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.3
Steals 5.7 4.9
Fouls 14.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH FLA
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 77.7
% of Possessions with RICH FLA
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 26.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 19.3%
Turnover 11.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH FLA
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 13.9% 33.8%