NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU USD
Points 74.6 67.4
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 21.7
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.3
Shooting ASU USD
Field Goals Made 25.3 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 56.5
Field Goal % 44.8% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 19.8
Free Throw % 65.3% 72.1%
Ball Control ASU USD
Rebounds 35.8 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.1
Turnovers 10.4 14.8
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.5
Steals 9.3 5.9
Fouls 14.5 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU USD
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 68.7
% of Possessions with ASU USD
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 24.9%
Player Fouled 24.2% 19.4%
Turnover 14.0% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 12.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU USD
Shot Blocked 4.5% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 24.9%