NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST BRAD
Points 76.0 74.5
Total Points   150.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.3 25.7
Points From Free Throws 16.9 10.1
Shooting INST BRAD
Field Goals Made 24.5 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 59.4
Field Goal % 44.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 27.1 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 16.9 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 13.6
Free Throw % 80.7% 74.3%
Ball Control INST BRAD
Rebounds 33.4 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 7.5
Turnovers 11.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.0 4.1
Steals 5.5 6.5
Fouls 13.2 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST BRAD
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 68.2
% of Possessions with INST BRAD
2 Point Attempt 33.9% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 29.1%
Player Fouled 21.6% 18.7%
Turnover 16.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST BRAD
Shot Blocked 6.9% 1.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 22.2%