ATS Situational Trends

Record UNC adv CONN
Season 21-16-0 28-12-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-10-0 15-8-0
Streak L1 W7
Last 5 2-3-0 5-0-0
Last 10 5-5-0 9-1-0
Home 8-7-0 9-7-0
Away 13-9-0 19-5-0

N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Radford -18.5 W by 16 -2.5
11/12 Home Lehigh -24.0 W by 22 -2.0
11/17 Home UC Riverside -23.5 W by 25 +1.5
11/22 Neutral N Iowa -11.5 W by 22 +10.5
11/23 Neutral Villanova -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
11/24 Neutral Arkansas -3.5 W by 15 +11.5
11/29 Home Tennessee -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/02 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
12/05 Neutral Connecticut +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
12/16 Neutral Kentucky -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
12/20 Neutral Oklahoma -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
12/29 Home Charl South -30.5 W by 45 +14.5
01/02 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 13 +9.0
01/06 Away Clemson +3.0 W by 10 +13.0
01/10 Away NC State -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
01/13 Home Syracuse -12.0 W by 36 +24.0
01/17 Home Louisville -21.0 W by 16 -5.0
01/20 Away Boston Col -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
01/22 Home Wake Forest -8.0 W by 21 +13.0
01/27 Away Florida St -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
01/30 Away GA Tech -8.5 L by 1 -9.5
02/03 Home Duke -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
02/06 Home Clemson -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/10 Away Miami -4.0 W by 3 -1.0
02/13 Away Syracuse -8.0 L by 7 -15.0
02/17 Home VA Tech -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
02/24 Away Virginia -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/26 Home Miami -14.0 W by 4 -10.0
03/02 Home NC State -11.0 W by 9 -2.0
03/05 Home Notre Dame -16.0 W by 33 +17.0
03/09 Away Duke +4.5 W by 5 +9.5
03/14 Neutral Florida St -11.0 W by 25 +14.0
03/15 Neutral Pittsburgh -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/16 Neutral NC State -10.0 L by 8 -18.0
03/21 Neutral Wagner -25.5 W by 28 +2.5
03/23 Neutral Michigan St -4.0 W by 16 +12.0
03/28 Neutral Alabama -4.5 L by 2 -6.5

Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home N Arizona -26.5 W by 43 +16.5
11/11 Home Stonehill -38.0 W by 40 +2.0
11/14 Home Miss Val St -45.5 W by 34 -11.5
11/19 Neutral Indiana -11.0 W by 20 +9.0
11/20 Neutral Texas -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
11/24 Home Manhattan -35.0 W by 30 -5.0
11/27 Home N Hampshire -31.5 W by 20 -11.5
12/01 Away Kansas +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
12/05 Neutral N Carolina -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
12/09 Home Ark Pine Bl -37.0 W by 38 +1.0
12/15 Neutral Gonzaga -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
12/20 Away Seton Hall -8.0 L by 15 -23.0
12/23 Home St Johns -11.0 W by 4 -7.0
01/02 Home DePaul -23.0 W by 29 +6.0
01/05 Away Butler -5.0 W by 7 +2.0
01/10 Away Xavier -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/14 Home Georgetown -21.0 W by 13 -8.0
01/17 Home Creighton -6.0 W by 14 +8.0
01/20 Away Villanova -4.0 W by 1 -3.0
01/28 Home Xavier -11.5 W by 43 +31.5
01/31 Home Providence -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
02/03 Away St Johns -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
02/06 Home Butler -14.0 W by 9 -5.0
02/10 Away Georgetown -16.0 W by 25 +9.0
02/14 Away DePaul -24.5 W by 36 +11.5
02/17 Home Marquette -7.0 W by 28 +21.0
02/20 Away Creighton -2.5 L by 19 -21.5
02/24 Home Villanova -11.5 W by 24 +12.5
03/03 Home Seton Hall -15.5 W by 30 +14.5
03/06 Away Marquette -5.0 W by 7 +2.0
03/09 Away Providence -9.0 W by 14 +5.0
03/14 Neutral Xavier -15.0 W by 27 +12.0
03/15 Neutral St Johns -9.0 W by 5 -4.0
03/16 Neutral Marquette -9.5 W by 16 +6.5
03/22 Neutral Stetson -27.5 W by 39 +11.5
03/24 Neutral Northwestern -13.5 W by 17 +3.5
03/28 Neutral San Diego St -12.0 W by 30 +18.0
03/30 Neutral Illinois -8.0 W by 25 +17.0
04/06 Neutral Alabama -10.0 W by 14 +4.0
04/08 Neutral Purdue -7.0 W by 15 +8.0
CONN Spread UNC Spread
CONN -6.0 Open -4.5 High -6.0
Last -5.5 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 813 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Connecticut won the game 556 times (68.4%).
  • The team like North Carolina won the game 257 times (31.6%).
  • The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 409-396-8 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3118 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 1546-1514-58 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -5.5 --
Open -- -5.5 --
History
12/04 10:07 PM -- -5.5 --