NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF MTU
Points 72.4 67.8
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 27.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 25.0
Points From Free Throws 9.6 15.7
Shooting WOF MTU
Field Goals Made 27.3 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 55.8
Field Goal % 44.8% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 13.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 9.6 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 22.0
Free Throw % 61.9% 71.4%
Ball Control WOF MTU
Rebounds 39.0 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.3
Turnovers 9.5 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.2
Steals 3.5 4.6
Fouls 15.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Middle Tenn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF MTU
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 69.1
% of Possessions with WOF MTU
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 31.9%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.7%
Turnover 13.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF MTU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 24.8%