NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF CCU
Points 78.3 71.9
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 21.5
Points From Free Throws 10.6 14.0
Shooting WOF CCU
Field Goals Made 27.5 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 64.3 58.5
Field Goal % 42.8% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 27.2 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 10.6 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 20.2
Free Throw % 61.9% 69.4%
Ball Control WOF CCU
Rebounds 39.9 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 8.7
Turnovers 8.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 4.9 5.0
Fouls 14.8 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF CCU
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 70.7
% of Possessions with WOF CCU
2 Point Attempt 32.2% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 43.9% 25.6%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.6%
Turnover 11.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF CCU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 23.7%