NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU AMER
Points 65.2 65.8
Total Points   131.0
Points From 2-Pointers 27.9 26.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 27.5
Points From Free Throws 11.1 11.8
Shooting BU AMER
Field Goals Made 22.7 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 50.7
Field Goal % 43.4% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.7 26.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 11.1 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 16.4
Free Throw % 72.2% 71.6%
Ball Control BU AMER
Rebounds 32.2 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 6.6
Turnovers 9.8 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.2
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 15.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU AMER
Total Possessions 64.1
Effective Scoring Chances 62.2 60.7
% of Possessions with BU AMER
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 34.2%
Player Fouled 22.2% 23.8%
Turnover 15.3% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU AMER
Shot Blocked 2.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 21.3%