NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU SEA
Points 69.6 78.4
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 45.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 19.1
Points From Free Throws 15.0 14.0
Shooting SUU SEA
Field Goals Made 24.7 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 61.7
Field Goal % 42.7% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 26.4% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 15.0 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 18.7
Free Throw % 71.3% 74.7%
Ball Control SUU SEA
Rebounds 32.4 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.3
Turnovers 10.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.7
Steals 5.2 5.3
Fouls 15.5 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU SEA
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 73.5
% of Possessions with SUU SEA
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 21.6%
Player Fouled 24.1% 21.3%
Turnover 14.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU SEA
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 32.1%