NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SUU UTAH
Points 69.2 88.0
Total Points   157.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 53.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 23.8
Points From Free Throws 12.6 11.0
Shooting SUU UTAH
Field Goals Made 25.0 34.6
Field Goals Attempted 64.5 64.5
Field Goal % 38.8% 53.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 44.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 12.6 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 17.3
Free Throw % 71.3% 63.4%
Ball Control SUU UTAH
Rebounds 32.0 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.4
Turnovers 9.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.5
Steals 5.2 5.5
Fouls 15.4 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SUU UTAH
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 75.3
% of Possessions with SUU UTAH
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 23.6%
Player Fouled 20.1% 20.6%
Turnover 12.2% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SUU UTAH
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 31.0%