NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH OHIO
Points 71.9 77.5
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 28.8
Points From Free Throws 12.7 15.1
Shooting MRSH OHIO
Field Goals Made 25.5 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 60.9
Field Goal % 40.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 20.3
Free Throw % 71.7% 74.1%
Ball Control MRSH OHIO
Rebounds 40.1 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 9.0
Turnovers 11.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.6
Steals 5.5 6.5
Fouls 15.2 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH OHIO
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 72.6
% of Possessions with MRSH OHIO
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 30.3%
Player Fouled 18.0% 20.8%
Turnover 15.3% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH OHIO
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 24.4%