NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH GASO
Points 77.6 76.8
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 30.1
Points From Free Throws 17.2 12.8
Shooting MRSH GASO
Field Goals Made 26.1 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 62.0
Field Goal % 41.9% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 17.2 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 18.0
Free Throw % 71.7% 71.5%
Ball Control MRSH GASO
Rebounds 40.3 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.8
Turnovers 10.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.1
Steals 7.1 6.3
Fouls 13.8 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH GASO
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 77.2 72.8
% of Possessions with MRSH GASO
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.3%
Turnover 13.9% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH GASO
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 26.2%