NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM TAM
Points 79.0 85.3
Total Points   164.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 29.6
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.7
Shooting MEM TAM
Field Goals Made 27.2 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 70.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.3%
Ball Control MEM TAM
Rebounds 34.1 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 21.3
Turnovers 11.8 8.6
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.7
Steals 4.8 6.6
Fouls 16.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM TAM
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 86.3
% of Possessions with MEM TAM
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 31.9%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.3%
Turnover 16.0% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM TAM
Shot Blocked 6.8% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 46.9%