NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO PUR
Points 56.9 86.5
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 23.2
Points From Free Throws 8.0 23.0
Shooting TXSO PUR
Field Goals Made 21.4 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 54.4
Field Goal % 33.9% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.2% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 8.0 23.0
Free Throws Attempted 10.8 31.5
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.0%
Ball Control TXSO PUR
Rebounds 26.4 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 17.9 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 13.7
Turnovers 9.4 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.4
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 20.5 10.7

Playing Style Advantage: Purdue

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO PUR
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 74.3
% of Possessions with TXSO PUR
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 24.3%
Player Fouled 15.3% 29.2%
Turnover 13.4% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO PUR
Shot Blocked 6.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 43.4%