NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU VAN
Points 79.1 70.0
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 20.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.5
Shooting LSU VAN
Field Goals Made 27.9 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 59.7
Field Goal % 47.4% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 27.7%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 20.5
Free Throw % 73.3% 70.7%
Ball Control LSU VAN
Rebounds 38.4 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.3
Turnovers 11.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 5.5 7.0
Fouls 14.7 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU VAN
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 72.3
% of Possessions with LSU VAN
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 29.7%
Player Fouled 18.4% 20.4%
Turnover 15.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU VAN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 26.5%